THREE NEW RESULTS, JUST IN – AT 10:20 A.M. ET:  New state polls, possibly good news for Donald Trump.  From Bloomberg: 

Donald Trump has a slim advantage in Florida as critical independent voters narrowly break his way in the must-win battleground state, a Bloomberg Politics poll shows.

The Republican presidential nominee has 45 percent to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 43 percent among likely voters when third-party candidates are included, the poll found. In a hypothetical two-way race, Trump has 46 percent to Clinton’s 45 percent.

Among independents, Trump gets 43 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent in a head-to-head contest. When third-party candidates are included, Trump picks up 1 point with independents while Clinton drops to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson taking 9 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein getting 5 percent.

“This race may come down to the independent vote,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey. “Right now, they tilt for Trump. By a narrow margin, they opted for Obama over Romney in 2012.”

Trump’s showing in this poll is stronger than in other recent surveys in the state. Clinton had an advantage of 3.1 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics Florida average on Tuesday.

Poll also shows Senator Marco Rubio with a ten-point advantage in his re-election race.

In Ohio, the latest Axiom poll shows Trump up by four, 46-42%.

And in Pennsylvania, the latest poll shows Trump gaining, and now within three points of Hillary Clinton, 45% for Clinton, 42% for Trump.

We always caution readers that a poll is a snapshot in time, and the results above are from a single poll in each of the states covered.  But I do get a sense of a possible movement toward Trump.  Maybe.  Only maybe.

I ask this question:  Is it possible Trump is getting a sympathy vote?  You know, you bash a man so much that voters start to feel it's unfair.  I only raise the question.

October 26, 2016